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Can we predict when football managers are no longer effective?

As the new football season commences, the media is speculating on who will be the first manager to be sacked. Whilst economists have used their models to predict football events, academics from the ICMA Centre have developed a model to see if they could predict when a football manager is no longer being effective.

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Football manager

But does sacking a football manager even work? Professor Adrian Bell and Professor Chris Brooks, along with their co-author Dr Tom Markham, discuss the model in Henley Business School's Leading Insights.

A straightforward method would be to measure good performance by the points achieved against total wage spend per club. However, their model includes other factors such as as the different resources that clubs have access to. Find out more here.

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Professor Adrian Bell

 Research Dean, Prosperity and Resilience
Professor Adrian Bell
Published 7 August 2019
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