The ICMA Centre is dedicated to high quality academic research in all financial markets, broadly defined. Well over 100 discussion papers are available to download (see menu on left).Â
2013 Series
All discussion papers are downloadable on the SSRN website.
Did Long-Short Investors Destabilize Commodity Markets?
Reference: 2013-03Authors: Joëlle Miffre and Chris Brooks
This paper contributes to the debate on the effects of the financialization of commodity futures markets by studying the conditional volatility of long-short commodity portfolios and their conditional correlation with traditional assets (stocks and bonds). Using several groups of trading strategies that hedge fund managers are known to implement, we show that long-short speculators do not cause changes in theContinue reading
On the Predictive Content of Leading Indicators: The Case of US Real Estate Markets
Reference: 2013-02Authors: Sotiris Tsolacos, Chris Brooks, Ogonna Nneji
This paper employs a probit model and a Markov switching model using information from the Conference Board Leading Indicator series to detect the turning points in four key US commercial rents series. We find that both the approaches based on the leading indicator have considerable power to predict changes in the direction of commercial rents up to two years ahead,Continue reading
Speculative Bubbles and the Cross-Sectional Variation in Stock Returns
Reference: 2013-01Authors: Chris Brooks, Keith Anderson (University of York)
Evidence suggests that rational, periodically collapsing speculative bubbles may be pervasive in stock markets globally, but there is no research that considers them at the individual stock level. In this study we develop and test an empirical asset pricing model that allows for speculative bubbles to affect stock returns. We show that stocks incorporating larger bubbles yield higher returns. TheContinue reading
